Vijay the next MGR: Axis My India exit poll

30-Apr-2026

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In a result that could redraw Tamil Nadu’s political map, an Axis My India exit poll has projected a dramatic debut for Vijay’s Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK), giving it 98–120 seats in the 234-member Assembly, placing it directly alongside the DMK-led alliance.

Pollster Pradeep Gupta, chairperson of Axis My India, even likened Vijay's rise to that of former chief ministers MG Ramachandran (MGR) in Tamil Nadu and NT Ram Rao in Andhra Pradesh.

According to the survey, TVK is likely to secure around 35 per cent vote share, matching the MK-Stalin-led ruling bloc and leaving the AIADMK-BJP alliance far behind at roughly 23 per cent.

If the projections hold, TVK could become the largest party in Tamil Nadu and play kingmaker in a fractured mandate, or establish itself as a long-term political force.

The projection puts DMK-INC+ at 92–110 seats and NDA at 22–32, with TVK emerging as a parallel pole. More striking is the vote share. TVK is pegged at around 35%, matching the ruling bloc and leaving the AIADMK-led alliance far behind at roughly 23%.